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Forecasting

Futuresearch ✓

AI forecaster for geopolitical risk analysis.

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Geopolitical Risk Analysis Forecasting Risk Management
More categories (3)
Predictive Models Scenario Modeling Global Affairs
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Free + from $20 per month

Verdict

A quick read before you dig into the full page.

Best if
AI forecaster for geopolitical risk analysis
Skip if
Limited to geopolitical scope
Pick this when
Geopolitical Risk Profiling

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Overview

FUTURESEARCH is an AI-powered tool designed specifically for geopolitical risk professionals. It enables users to produce complete risk analysis and forecasting on a range of geopolitical scenarios.

Utilising a five-stage workflow, FUTURESEARCH first facilitates scenario search from its comprehensive question repository or allows users to input their own.

The tool then analyzes past instances that are relevant to each scenario, building them into its statistical models. Post this, it conducts present-time research by reading and collating information from various sources such as news, industry analyses, and government reports.

Using this data, FUTURESEARCH creates future simulations that offer probabilities and outcomes of geopolitical events. Finally, it allows simple and efficient production of a Risk Management report by choosing the desired research, models, and deductions from FUTURESEARCH.

The AI's algorithms and models are developed to scale for large or multiple scenarios and conduct deep research, providing daily updates and forecasts from news sourced globally.

FUTURESEARCH combines applied history with AI to competitively predict near-term geopolitical events.

Futuresearch website

Access & connections

Where you can use Futuresearch.

Platforms

Web

API

Public API available

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Pros & cons

Pros

  • Geopolitical Risk Profiling
  • Scenario-based Analysis
  • Comprehensive Question Repository
  • User Input for Scenarios
  • Past Instance Analysis
  • Statistical Modelling
  • Real-time Research
  • Multiple Source Data Collation
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  • Future Simulations
  • Risk Management Report Generation
  • Scaleable for Multiple Scenarios
  • Daily Updates and Forecasting
  • Applied History Integration
  • Probabilities and Outcomes Prediction
  • Simple Production Process
  • Outperforms Human Forecasters
  • Accuracy in Forecasting
  • Recognises Novel Questions
  • Identifies Best Historical Analogs
  • Reads Multilingual Sources
  • Unique Insight Lens
  • Continuous Updated Forecasts
  • Expansive Scalability
  • Produces Dates and Probabilities
  • Accurate Than Human Forecasters

Cons

  • Needs human-designed questions
  • May miss non-textual information
  • No mention of real-time support
  • Limited to geopolitical scope
  • Dependent on source credibility
  • No explicit data security features
  • No user customization options
  • Potential inaccuracy in simulations
Show 1 more
  • Not designed for individual users

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Releases 1

Initial release March 20, 2024 Current
Initial release of Futuresearch.

FAQ 12

What is FUTURESEARCH and what does it do?
FUTURESEARCH is an AI-powered tool developed specifically for geopolitical risk professionals. It empowers users to perform comprehensive risk analysis and forecasting on various geopolitical scenarios. FUTURESEARCH operates using a five-stage workflow. First, it provides a scenario search from its extensive question repository or enables users to provide their own. It then analyzes past instances that pertain to each scenario, incorporating them into its statistical models. FUTURESEARCH next conducts contemporary research, consuming information from various sources like news, industry analyses, and government reports. Employing this gathered data, it constructs future simulations that predict probabilities and outcomes of geopolitical events. Finally, it aids in efficient risk management report productions.
What makes FUTURESEARCH different from other tools?
FUTURESEARCH differentiates itself by blending applied history with AI to predict near-term geopolitical events. Its algorithms and models are crafted to accommodate large or numerous scenarios and conduct exhaustive research. It also provides regular updates and forecasts based on globally sourced news. The implementation of AI and applied history enables FUTURESEARCH to outperform most veteran human forecasters.
Who are the target users of FUTURESEARCH?
FUTURESEARCH is specifically designed for geopolitical risk professionals who need to perform risk analyses and forecasting on geopolitical scenarios. It can be an extremely valuable tool for these professionals as it allows deep research, predictive modeling, realtime updates, and efficient report production.
What is the five-stage workflow of FUTURESEARCH?
The five-stage workflow of FUTURESEARCH includes searching scenarios either from FUTURESEARCH's question repository or using user-input scenarios. It then used past instances to analogize the past and build it into statistical models. From there, present-time research is conducted by collating information from various sources. Using such data, it simulates future outcomes and probabilities of geopolitical events. Finally, it allows the creation of a Risk Management report by selecting the desired research, models, and deductions.
How does FUTURESEARCH analyze and forecast geopolitical scenarios?
FUTURESEARCH analyses and forecasts geopolitical scenarios in a multi-stage process. It first sources scenario-bound questions either from its repository or users. It then identifies historical analogues of each scenario, their outcomes, and integrates these findings into statistical models. FUTURESEARCH also compiles current events and information from news, industry analyses, government reports, and even foreign language sources for the most accurate portrayal of real-world scenarios. Data compiled is then used to conduct future simulations that provide deterministic and probabilistic outcomes and daily updates on forecasts.
What are the sources of data for FUTURESEARCH?
FUTURESEARCH extracts data from various sources to provide insightful analysis and predictions. These sources include news, industry reports, government reports, and even foreign language resources. This wide range of sources ensures comprehensive real-time research and accurate forecasting.
Can I input my own scenarios in FUTURESEARCH?
Yes, with FUTURESEARCH, users can input their own scenarios. This feature enables the tool to cater to the specific and unique needs of each user, making it customizable and flexible.
How does FUTURESEARCH create future simulations?
Using the data it collates from various sources, FUTURESEARCH conducts future simulations. It generates deterministic dates, numbers, and probabilistic outcomes of geopolitical events. These simulations serve to predict and anticipate potential scenarios based on the analyzed data and trends.
What does the Risk Management report of FUTURESEARCH include?
The Risk Management report in FUTURESEARCH includes all the desired research, models, and deductions chosen by the user. It's essentially a summarised document of the potential risks, simulated scenarios, and expected outcomes of certain geopolitical conditions. This report enables users to make informed, data-driven decisions.
Can FUTURESEARCH handle multiple scenarios simultaneously?
Yes, FUTURESEARCH is designed with the capability to handle large or multiple scenarios simultaneously. Its algorithms and models are developed to scale up, allowing it to manage and forecast for a range of scenarios at once without compromising on the level of detail or accuracy.
How often does FUTURESEARCH update its forecasts?
FUTURESEARCH provides daily updates and forecasts. This high-frequency update schedule ensures that the tool offers the latest data for geopolitical risk analysis, empowering users with up-to-date information to make informed decisions.
What is the advantage of combining applied history with AI in FUTURESEARCH?
By combining AI with applied history, FUTURESEARCH leverages the learning from historical events to anticipate future outcomes. This unique blend gives it an edge over other tools, resulting in a more nuanced and accurate perspective when forecasting geopolitical events. This confluence significantly enhances the analytical capability, providing more comprehensive and accurate forecasts.
Futuresearch Free + from $20 per month
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